Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 255.573884 288.913627 326.165257 371.098962 424.128942 485.090489 561.003652
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 214.369497 259.945729 315.682289 389.824807 487.342478 613.362818 792.134849
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 185.710974 235.129669 299.077501 389.700018 517.868650 697.565065 977.897974
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 161.863449 211.625234 278.812820 378.779524 528.502695 752.789484 1131.816495
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 143.996638 193.274805 262.183820 368.994838 537.026383 803.812337 1288.516299
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 135.321476 186.388625 260.329258 379.773517 577.424172 911.050346 1566.720116
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 125.828814 177.083786 253.495210 381.351102 602.402950 996.340026 1828.104206
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 115.754229 165.806134 242.244324 373.963884 610.334077 1051.834616 2045.402546
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 108.768190 158.531398 236.365323 374.504785 631.960044 1136.819013 2352.610553
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 100.975330 149.276572 226.319083 366.440782 636.034870 1187.155706 2595.559545
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 95.304814 142.923431 220.400072 364.882774 652.181311 1265.780937 2937.518118
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 87.503113 132.506576 206.727928 347.546818 634.057760 1265.185083 3065.929761
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 85.679941 131.989390 210.220491 363.292032 687.931164 1444.886507 3801.319071
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 84.336756 132.176099 214.975804 382.173886 752.402926 1669.412568 4811.488381
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 80.373056 127.510818 210.518965 381.987387 773.828603 1789.058987 5534.359502
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 75.378660 120.682857 201.503517 371.343975 768.923289 1835.620324 6008.975316
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 70.967679 114.607285 193.424546 361.799521 765.222338 1885.214036 6532.539356
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 69.366995 113.473995 194.618308 372.312860 813.428202 2104.628149 7989.412106
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 66.832133 110.454049 191.898519 373.851431 838.804924 2261.026568 9287.578124
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 63.530330 105.806890 185.619791 366.646514 839.582943 2336.464090 10223.261525
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 61.289486 103.011332 182.825679 367.174098 861.872605 2494.713542 11826.218658
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 58.357775 98.738108 176.735704 359.308115 859.070511 2561.447133 12920.460820
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 56.244079 95.915334 173.428750 357.788239 874.683010 2704.579458 14752.428986